GetCoattail Research — Tesla just beat its delivery consensus, trades near the top of every most-searched list in America, and carries a SpaceX merger rumour on top of a $1.5 trillion market value. We ran it through every filing lens we maintain. The crowds are there. The concentrated money, on the record, mostly is not — and what was there shrank by a third last quarter.
Start with the narrative. On October 2, 2026, Tesla reported third-quarter production of 464,391 vehicles and deliveries of 486,532 — 5.3% above the company-compiled consensus of 461,974, though 2.1% below the 497,099 delivered a year earlier, when buyers rushed to beat an expiring federal tax credit. Energy storage deployments were 13.7 GWh. The stock rose 4.65% on the day to close at $370.59, and retail discussion has since added a second story: chatter about a potential merger with SpaceX, which Baird analysts said could dominate the near-term narrative. Tesla was the fourth most-searched ticker on MarketWatch's list this week — behind only NVIDIA, SpaceX's tracking ticker and Micron — and the second most-searched name on Benzinga Pro for October, behind only the SPY index fund. At the October 6 price of $380.68 in our fundamentals file, the company is worth about $1.50 trillion. Fiscal 2025 revenue was $94.83 billion; net income was $3.79 billion.
Now the filings. GetCoattail tracks the portfolios, trades and disclosures of the investors with the most information about any given company: concentrated superinvestors, institutions as a whole, corporate insiders, members of Congress, and 5% holders. For Tesla — the fifth Filing Tape audit, after IREN, CoreWeave, Micron and NVIDIA — the pattern is close to NVIDIA's mirror image: where NVIDIA had the broadest superinvestor sponsorship in this series, Tesla has close to the least, and the one truly large position on its register belongs to the man who runs the company.
Lens 1: the superinvestors — six names, one real position, a third fewer shares
We track 83 large, mostly long-only managers whose 13F portfolios we collect directly from SEC EDGAR. As of June 30, 2026, six held Tesla. Only one holds it in real size: Duan Yongping's H&H International, with 3,380,400 shares worth $1,421,796,240 — 7.44% of its portfolio, and 84.8% of everything the tracked cohort owns in Tesla. Behind H&H, the register thins out fast: Viking Global Investors holds 547,816 shares (0.66% of its portfolio), Greenlea Lane Capital holds 47,390 shares (5.47% of a small portfolio), and Polen Capital, Torray Funds and Matrix Asset Advisors hold 8,974, 1,250 and 494 shares respectively.
The direction matters more than the count. On the pipeline basis we use to compare quarters consistently — the same CUSIP in both quarters' filings — the cohort held 5,968,814 Tesla shares at March 31, 2026 and 3,986,324 at June 30: 33.2% fewer shares, in a quarter when the price rose 13.1%, from a $371.75 close to $420.60 in our price file. Almost the entire decline is one manager: Viking reported 2,493,561 shares in its first-quarter filing and 547,816 in its second-quarter filing — a cut of 78.0%. (Our EDGAR collection labels Viking's second-quarter row "NEW"; its own first-quarter filing shows the position was already there, so we follow the filings — see methodology.) H&H trimmed 0.8%, Greenlea Lane cut 13.4%, Polen added 21.8% to a small position, Torray was unchanged, and Matrix's 494 shares were the only genuinely new entry. Six holders, three reducing — a cohort whose Tesla exposure is now, in practice, one investor's position.
Lens 2: institutions — the opposite direction
Zoom out to the whole 13F market and the picture reverses. At June 30, 2026, 4,287 institutions reported Tesla positions, up from 4,129 at March 31 — a 3.8% increase, in a register that added 2,141 filers and lost 1,983 in the quarter. Reported share counts rose 27.9%, from 1,298,818,082 to 1,661,480,013 shares, and 4,256 filers reported long positions. The dataset's reported aggregate value rose 34.1% to $822,338,604,673; the aggregate includes option rows, so we treat filer and share counts as the reliable series and the dollar figure as reported (see methodology). The broad market added Tesla shares at a clip the concentrated cohort was moving in exactly the opposite direction from — the difference between owning an index weight and choosing a position.
Lens 3: the 5% register — the founder is the register
Five SC 13D/G filings cover Tesla, and all five are 13G — the passive form. There is not one 13D. But Tesla's register has a feature no previous audit in this series has had: the largest reporter is the chief executive himself. Elon Musk reported 717,323,438 shares (20.3%) as of September 30, 2025 and 717,112,739 shares (20.3%) as of April 21, 2026 — and then, in the most recent filing on June 17, 2026, 699,580,882 shares, or 19.9%, as of June 16, 2026: the founder's reported stake below 20% for the first time in this filing set. The only other sized reporter is Vanguard Capital Management at 5.61% (210,796,512 shares, as of March 31, 2026). No outside activist has filed. On this register, the register is the story — and in the latest print it moved down, not up.
Lens 4: insiders — one filing in ninety days, no purchases in a year
In the 90 days through October 2, 2026, Tesla insiders filed exactly one Form 4 report: a single sale transaction of $938,419.17 by one seller. Open-market purchases in the same window: zero.
Widen the window and the purchases do not appear. Over the full year through October 2, 2026, the record shows 17 filings covering 66 sale transactions totalling $87,688,430.14 by four sellers — and zero open-market purchases. The purchases in Tesla's parsed record are real but old and narrow: across all 51 filings there are 26 open-market purchase transactions totalling $1,000,984,274.37, by just two buyers, with 25 of the 26 transactions (and $999,959,042.37 of the value) by officers — every one predating the last twelve months. Our site's separate 90-day insider aggregate matches the full-parse figure exactly: zero buys, one sale, $938,419.17, one seller. Set this beside the previous audit: NVIDIA's insiders sold $967.6 million in ninety days; Tesla's sold less than $1 million — not because they were buying, but because they were barely filing at all. Through a year that carried the stock from a $489.88 closing high (December 16, 2025) to a $298.32 closing low (July 29, 2026) and back to $370.59, nobody inside Tesla has paid market price for a share in at least twelve months.
Lens 5: Congress — one member
Across the Senate and House transaction record we maintain (as of October 3, 2026), one member of Congress has traded Tesla: two purchases and one sale, with the most recent purchase on May 29, 2026. All of it is in the House record, from one party (Democrat); the Senate record shows no Tesla transactions at all. An empty lens is not new in this series — IREN and CoreWeave recorded no congressional trading at all — but among the large, politically visible names audited (NVIDIA had five members, Micron four), one member and three transactions is a strikingly thin record, and with a sample that small, direction is barely a claim. What the lens says is an absence: for one of America's most politically visible companies, the political-money record is nearly empty.
Lens 6: short interest — falling, and small
As of September 15, 2026 — the most recent FINRA settlement date — 68,862,357 Tesla shares were sold short, with days-to-cover of 1.72. Against the 3,949,547,394 shares the company most recently reported outstanding, that is 1.74%.
The level is down 20.1% from a year ago (86,213,226 shares at September 15, 2025), down 7.23% from the prior settlement, and 35.9% below the post-split peak of 107,481,521 shares on March 28, 2024. In 2026 the series rose into a June 30 reading of 79,109,257 shares and has since drifted down. For a stock whose valuation is argued about as loudly as any in the market, the borrow is modest and shrinking: the argument, on this record, is not being expressed with short positions either.
The gap, stated plainly
Tesla is the most searched-for story in this series and one of the least held by the cohorts it tracks. The delivery beat is real, and the broad institution count — 4,287 filers holding 27.9% more shares — shows the market's plumbing doing what it does with a $1.5 trillion index constituent. But the concentrated record points the other way at almost every lens: six of 83 tracked superinvestors hold the stock, five in small size, and the cohort cut its share count 33.2% in a rising quarter, led by one holder's 78% cut; insiders filed one report in ninety days and have not bought a share in at least a year; one member of Congress has traded it at all; and the founder's own reported stake slipped from 20.3% to 19.9%. The filings describe a stock the whole market watches, the index owns, and the concentrated holders have been quietly reducing.
What would change the picture
Nothing above is a recommendation. It is a record. These are the filings that would change the description, in the order the data will arrive:
- 1. The 2026Q3 13Fs (filing window closing mid-November 2026). Whether the tracked cohort stabilises after a 33.2% cut — and whether Viking holds at 547,816 shares, rebuilds, or exits — is the cleanest test of whether the second-quarter reduction was rebalancing or a departure. Watch also whether the holder count rises above six.
- 2. Any insider open-market purchase. A single Form 4 purchase code would be the first in at least twelve months — and the first sign in this record that anyone inside Tesla is paying market price. Watch also whether the filing pace itself recovers from one report in ninety days.
- 3. Musk's next 13G amendment. The founder's reported stake printed 19.9% on June 16, 2026, down from 20.3%. Whether it stabilises near a fifth of the company or keeps stepping down is the register's central number, and it updates outside the 13F calendar.
- 4. Congress beyond one member. Two buys and one sale by a single House member is a sample, not a signal. Any broadening — more members, either party, either direction — would make this lens readable for the first time.
- 5. The short-interest series from its June level. Short interest has fallen from 79,109,257 shares (June 30, 2026) to 68,862,357. Whether it rebuilds through the June level into earnings season — Tesla reports third-quarter financials on October 21, 2026 — or keeps drifting down from 1.74% of shares outstanding is the fastest-updating series in this audit: FINRA publishes it every two weeks.
Until one of those prints, the filing record describes the market's most-watched stock as broadly indexed, lightly shorted, nearly untouched by Congress and its own insiders — and held, among the concentrated investors we track, by essentially one name.
Related reading: Nineteen of 83: The Superinvestors Own NVIDIA. Its Insiders Have Never Bought a Share. — Filing Tape #4; Zero of 83: The Superinvestors Aren't in IREN — Filing Tape #1; 80% Overlap, No Copycat Signal: Congress vs. the Superinvestors. Tesla's own page: Tesla (TSLA) on GetCoattail.
Methodology and data notes
- Superinvestor lens: 83 managers collected directly from SEC EDGAR Form 13F (managers_13f collection), positions as of June 30, 2026; Tesla identified by CUSIP 88160R101. Six distinct managers hold it, all in long rows. Quarter-to-quarter cohort share totals (5,968,814 at March 31; 3,986,324 at June 30) are from the site pipeline's holdings files on the same CUSIP basis in both quarters, and match the EDGAR collection's second-quarter long-row total exactly. One label differs: the EDGAR collection marks Viking Global's second-quarter row "NEW," but Viking's first-quarter filing (accession 0001103804-26-000004, CIK 0001103804) reports 2,493,561 shares of the same CUSIP; we therefore report Viking as a 78.0% reduction on the pipeline basis rather than a new position. Direction counts in this audit (three decreased, one increased, one unchanged, one new) are on that same pipeline basis.
- Full-market lens: SEC Form 13F Data Sets full-market aggregation (the fixtures underlying our 2026Q1–Q2 market tables). Holders = distinct filers reporting the CUSIP; 4,256 of the 4,287 reported long positions. Reported-value caution: the aggregate value ($822,338,604,673 over 1,661,480,013 shares) implies ≈$494.94 per share against a June 30, 2026 close of $420.60 in our price file. The gap is definitional, not a filer error: the aggregate sums the VALUE of every information-table row — including put and call option rows — while the share count covers long common-stock rows only. We therefore headline filer and share counts and label dollar values "reported."
- Insider lens: full-parse Form 4 aggregation (agg_by_ticker), record as of October 2, 2026 (51 filings). Sale and purchase counts are transaction-code counts (S and P) in non-derivative rows; grants and exercises are not counted as purchases. "At least twelve months" for the purchase gap follows from the one-year window (17 filings through October 2, 2026) showing zero purchases; the all-time purchase figures (26 transactions, two buyers) are for the full parsed record. The site's 90-day insider aggregate, compiled on a different as-of date (October 8, 2026), matches the full-parse 90-day figures exactly (0 buys; 1 sale; $938,419.17; one seller).
- 13D/G lens: full-parse SC 13D/G aggregation and parsed filings (5 filings, 4 of them amendments, 3 reporters in aggregate), filings through June 17, 2026. Reporter percentages are as reported in each filing for its event date; the same holder can appear in several filings. One parsed row (The Vanguard Group, event date March 13, 2026) carries zero shares in the parse and is not used for any figure here; Vanguard Capital Management's 5.61% (event date March 31, 2026) is the Vanguard figure cited.
- Congress lens: Senate PTR archive and House PTR archive as maintained on this site, combined record as of October 3, 2026. Counts are transaction counts in the aggregated member record; congressional disclosures report value ranges, so no dollar figures are used for this lens. The combined record and the House record agree exactly (one member, two buys, one sell); the Senate aggregate has no Tesla row.
- Short interest lens: FINRA Equity Short Interest files (biweekly settlement dates), collected directly from FINRA's public distribution; Tesla appears in all 137 settlement files from January 15, 2021 to September 15, 2026. FINRA figures are as reported at the time and are not split-adjusted: the series jumps at the August 2022 (3-for-1) split settlement, so all comparisons in this audit use the post-split window (97 settlements, September 15, 2022 – September 15, 2026). FINRA publishes each settlement about two weeks after the fact. The share-count ratio uses the company's dei reported shares outstanding — 3,949,547,394 shares as of July 16, 2026.
- Fundamentals note: our fundamentals collection carries Tesla's fiscal-2025 figures — revenue $94,827,000,000, net income $3,794,000,000, assets $137,806,000,000 — for the fiscal year ended December 2025. The market value of about $1.50 trillion uses that file's October 6, 2026 price ($380.68) and reported share count.
- Prices: our own daily-close file for TSLA through October 2, 2026 ($370.59 close, −17.6% year to date on that file; 252-session closing high $489.88 on December 16, 2025; closing low $298.32 on July 29, 2026; closes of $371.75 at March 31, 2026 and $420.60 at June 30, 2026). The October 2 close (+4.65%) is cross-checked against Nasdaq's official close as reported with the delivery release.
- Market context sources: third-quarter production, deliveries and storage deployments (464,391; 486,532; 13.7 GWh) — Tesla's own investor-relations release, October 2, 2026; consensus (461,974) and the 5.3% beat — company-compiled consensus as reported by CNBC and Ground News, checked October 8, 2026; year-earlier deliveries (497,099) — same reporting; SpaceX merger chatter — StockTwits news summary of Baird commentary, October 6, 2026, reported here as rumour, not as a company announcement; most-searched rankings — MarketWatch most-searched tickers (via Morningstar) and Benzinga Pro's October most-searched list, checked October 8, 2026; third-quarter financial results date (October 21, 2026) — Tesla's delivery release coverage. Figures we could not confirm against two sources were left out.
- Data files: TSLA lens summary — every figure in this audit by lens and as-of date (CSV) · TSLA short interest at all 137 FINRA biweekly settlements, Jan 15, 2021 – Sep 15, 2026 (CSV).
This article describes public filings as of the dates stated. It is not investment advice and makes no recommendation. Filings lag reality: 13F positions are as of June 30, 2026, and later trading is not yet public.
Revision history
- v1.0 — October 8, 2026: first publication.