RESEARCH — THE FILING TAPE #45

Two of 83: One Holder Is 83.5% of the Superinvestors' Rocket Lab Stake. Its Insiders Have Never Bought a Share.

October 12, 2026

GetCoattail Research — Rocket Lab is the launch and space-systems company behind the Electron rocket and the still-unflown Neutron, and it sits seventh on MarketBeat's trending-stocks list after reports of a possible NASA bulk launch purchase lifted the shares about 4% in a session and two banks opened coverage inside a week. The filings describe a register moving the other way at the top: two tracked superinvestors hold the stock and both cut it in a quarter the price rose 58.3%, the full market added 266 filers and 35.62% more shares, its insiders have recorded zero open-market purchases across the entire parsed record against 280 sales, Congress has never printed a trade in it, and the 5% register is a set of founder and early-backer rows that have been shrinking for eighteen months.

Start with the narrative. Rocket Lab's second quarter, reported August 11, 2026, showed revenue of $234.1 million, up 62% year over year, with Space Systems revenue up 94% to $189.5 million and a contract backlog of $2.36 billion; the adjusted loss was $0.08 per share, third-quarter guidance called for an adjusted EBITDA loss of $17 million to $23 million, and chief executive Peter Beck said the window for a first Neutron launch before the end of 2026 is narrowing — the shares fell about 8% on the report. The story since has been coverage and catalysts: Citigroup opened coverage with a Buy and a $105 target on October 1, Barclays opened with an Overweight and an $85 target on October 8, TD Cowen cut its target from $120 to $90 on October 9 while keeping a Buy, and reports of a possible NASA bulk launch purchase lifted the stock about 4% in a session in the same week. MarketBeat's consensus, as aggregated on October 10, is a Moderate Buy with an average target of $104.71. The agreed acquisition of Iridium, expected to close in mid-2027 and financed in part by at-the-market share sales, runs underneath all of it. Our own price file, which ends October 2, puts the last close at $73.92 — down 50.8% from the 252-session closing high of $150.23 set on May 27, 2026, up 87.2% from the closing low of $39.48 set on November 20, 2025, and up 6.0% year to date on that file.

Now the filings. For Rocket Lab — the forty-fifth Filing Tape audit — the tape shows a broad register getting broader, a tracked cohort of two getting smaller, an insider record with one column permanently empty, and a 5% register with no original 13D in it.

Lens 1: the superinvestors — two holders, 27,251 shares, both cut

We track 83 large, mostly long-only managers whose 13F portfolios we collect directly from SEC EDGAR. As of June 30, 2026, 2 held Rocket Lab long — no option rows — totalling 27,251 shares worth $2,770,064. The direction count, on the collection's own labels, is two decreased — no new positions, no increases, no unchanged rows, and no exits for this issuer.

Polen Capital Management holds most of it: 22,751 shares worth $2,312,639, a 0.02% portfolio weight, flagged decreased by 3.4% — 83.5% of the tracked cohort's Rocket Lab shares. Torray Funds holds 4,500 shares worth $457,425, a 0.06% weight, flagged decreased by 50.0%. The two holders report under different CUSIPs — Polen under 773121108, Torray under 773122106, the issuer's former "Rocket Lab USA Inc" identifier — and both CUSIPs carry the same issuer and, in these filings, the same implied price: the cohort's $101.65 per share matches the June 30 close exactly, holder by holder. The cohort total moved from 32,555 shares at March 31 to 27,251 at June 30, a change of -16.29%, a difference of -5,304 shares: Polen trimmed 804 shares and Torray halved, cutting 4,500 of its 9,000. The price rose from $64.22 at March 31 to $101.65 at June 30, a change of +58.3% — the tracked register trimmed, on net, into the strongest quarter in the stock's recent history, and the cohort's reported value still rose, from $2,090,682 to $2,770,064, because the price rose faster than the share count fell.

Rocket Lab through six filing lenses
Chart 1: Signal presence by cohort. Superinvestors: 83 managers, 2026Q2 13F (as of Jun 30, 2026). Institutions: full-market 13F aggregation, same date. Insiders: Form 4 record through Oct 2, 2026. Congress: Senate and House PTR records through Oct 3, 2026. 13D/G: filings through Jul 31, 2026. Short interest: FINRA biweekly settlement data through Sep 15, 2026. Source: SEC EDGAR; FINRA; GetCoattail collections.

Lens 2: institutions — 1,134 filers, up 266, shares up 35.62%

Zoom out to the whole 13F market and the June quarter was a register expanding in every dimension the tracked cohort shrank. At June 30, 2026, 1,134 institutions reported positions, up 266 from 868 at March 31 (+30.65%), and 1,123 reported long positions. Reported shares rose 35.62%, from 235,834,942 to 319,844,880 shares — 84,009,938 more shares than the prior quarter. Reported aggregate value rose 108.46% to $39,219,137,393; the aggregate includes option rows, so we headline filer and share counts and label dollars "reported" (see methodology). The implied value per share, $122.62, sits 20.6% above the June 30 close of $101.65 — the widest gap between reported value and close in this series, and one more reason this lens leads with counts, not dollars. Set the two 13F lenses side by side and the quarter has two opposite signatures: the full market added 266 filers and a third more shares while the two tracked superinvestors cut 16.29%. Whatever the broad register was doing in the second quarter, the cohort this site follows was not doing it.

Lens 3: the 5% register — fourteen filings, no original 13D among them, and the big rows shrink

Our full parse holds fourteen SC 13D/G filings for Rocket Lab across both of the issuer's CUSIPs — nine SC 13D/A amendments, two SC 13G originals and three SC 13G/A amendments, and no original SC 13D at all, 51 reporting-person rows across 19 names, the most recent filed July 31, 2026. This register is active paper, not index paper: its largest rows belong to the founder and the earliest backers, and they have been stepping down for eighteen months. The Beck Peter row prints 51,306,468 shares (10.26%) as of January 7, 2025 — the register's maximum — then 51,345,936 shares (10.02%) as of June 13, 2025, then 46,443,180 shares (7.51%) as of March 27, 2026, a 9.5% reduction from the prior row; four affiliated rows, including Equatorial Trust, print the same trajectory alongside it in each filing and are reported here as filed, never summed. The VK Services, LLC row — printed identically for Vinod Khosla in the same filings — steps down in every print: 50,982,669 shares (10.2%) as of January 29, 2025, then 43,433,056 (9.0%), 40,036,964 (8.0%), 36,593,470 (6.9%) and 34,888,272 shares (6.5%) as of February 17, 2026, a 31.6% reduction across the chain. The Khosla Ventures V rows fall further, from 21,323,617 shares (4.3%) to 2,258,894 shares (0.4%), down 89.4%. The passive side moves too: The Vanguard Group prints 40,029,546 shares (8.82%) as of March 31, 2025 and then 0 shares (0.0%) as of March 13, 2026; a distinct reporting person, Vanguard Capital Management, prints 30,080,579 shares (5.19%) as of June 30, 2026 in the register's most recent filing — we report the two names exactly as filed and do not merge them. BlackRock, Inc. moves the other way, from 22,072,112 shares (4.8%) as of June 30, 2025 to 30,222,153 shares (6.2%) as of September 30, 2025, up 36.9%. No filer in this register has filed an original 13D in the parsed set: every filing on the active side is an amendment to a position declared earlier, and in this window every large amendment except BlackRock's points down.

Lens 4: insiders — zero purchases in the parsed record

The parsed Form 4 record holds 96 filings through October 2, 2026, and one of its two columns has never been used. Across the whole record, open-market purchases total exactly 0 transactions — not in the last 90 days, not in the last year, not at any point in the parsed coverage, by any buyer. Against that empty column stand 280 sales totalling 15,632,573 shares and $984,929,949.10, by twelve sellers, 212 of the 280 recorded as officer sales. The recent windows are one-directional as well: the last year holds 216 sales for $683,279,283.05 by eleven sellers, and the last 90 days hold 49 sales for $313,373,587.49 by six sellers, all 49 of them officer sales. Our site's insider aggregate, compiled as of October 11 over its 90-day window, likewise records zero purchases; it counts the sales differently — 22 transactions totalling $17,037,943.29 by five sellers — and we note the difference rather than blending the two collections (see methodology). On the fact this lens exists to answer, the two collections agree completely: in the windows both cover, no Rocket Lab insider has bought a share in the open market. We assign no motives to any of it; a purchase column that has stayed empty across 96 filings is the fact.

Lens 5: Congress — no record

Across the congressional record we maintain (combined record as of October 3, 2026), Rocket Lab shows no trades at all: the combined aggregate carries no Rocket Lab row, the Senate aggregate (as of October 1, 2026) carries none, and the House aggregate (as of October 3, 2026) carries none. This lens is blank, and we print it blank rather than skipping it: in a series where most names show at least a handful of member trades, a heavily covered space stock with no congressional footprint in either chamber is itself a data point about who is not in the register.

Lens 6: short interest — 43,482,976 shares, a third below the peak

FINRA's files carry the borrow across 122 settlements, from August 31, 2021. As of September 15, 2026 — the most recent settlement — 43,482,976 Rocket Lab shares were sold short, with days-to-cover of 2.39, down 4.18% from the prior settlement. Against the fundamentals file's 598,350,482 shares outstanding, that is 7.27% of the share count — the highest share-count ratio in this series in several issues. But the level is not the trend: the series maximum is 63,654,443 shares on May 15, 2025, which puts the latest reading 31.7% below the peak, and against September 15, 2025 the latest reading is down 27.9% from 60,313,275 shares. The borrow has been shrinking for sixteen months while the share count it is measured against has grown. The June 30, 2026 settlement — the date the 13F lenses snapshot — printed 42,599,639 shares, close to the latest reading: through the quarter in which institutions added a third more shares, the borrow barely moved. The series minimum is 3,109,516 shares on October 29, 2021.

Short interest in Rocket Lab
Chart 2: Shares sold short in Rocket Lab at each FINRA biweekly settlement, Aug 31, 2021 – Sep 15, 2026 (n = 122 settlements). The latest reading, 43,482,976 shares on Sep 15, 2026, is down 31.7% from the series peak of 63,654,443 shares on May 15, 2025 and down 27.9% from the 60,313,275 shares recorded on Sep 15, 2025. Source: FINRA Equity Short Interest files; GetCoattail collection (rklb_short_interest_series.csv).

The recent settlements run 45,847,931 on July 15, then 45,819,240, 44,395,701, 45,378,891 and 43,482,976 — a high plateau, drifting down. Set beside the price file, the picture is a stock that closed at $73.92 on October 2, down 27.3% from its June 30 close, carrying a borrow equal to 7.27% of its share count that has nonetheless been retreating from its peak for over a year.

The gap, stated plainly

The registers describe a stock the analyst community rates with an average target of $104.71 — with the price down 50.8% from its May closing high on our file through October 2 — days after two banks opened coverage and a possible NASA purchase made the rounds, months after its institutions had already moved in opposite shapes. The tracked superinvestors held 27,251 shares at June 30 across two holders, with Polen Capital Management at 83.5% of it, having cut 16.29% in a quarter when the price rose 58.3%. The full market went the other way: 319,844,880 reported shares, up 84,009,938, across 1,134 filers — 266 more than the prior quarter. The 5% register printed fourteen filings, twelve of them amendments and not one an original 13D: its maximum row is a 10.26% Beck Peter print from January 2025 that has since stepped down to 7.51%, the VK Services row was cut 31.6% across five prints, the Khosla Ventures V rows were cut 89.4%, The Vanguard Group printed zero, and there is not one original 13D. Insiders, across 96 parsed filings, recorded zero purchases against 280 sales for $984,929,949.10. Congress registers nothing in either chamber. And the borrow, at 43,482,976 shares, stands 31.7% below the peak it printed in May 2025. One plausible reading is that the registers run on different clocks and different mandates: the broad register added through the second quarter while the two tracked managers trimmed into strength, the legacy 5% blocks are being reduced on a schedule set years ago while a new Vanguard reporting person prints the newest passive row, its own insiders have left the purchase column empty for the entire parsed record, and short sellers have been covering, slowly, for sixteen months. The record supports each clause separately; it does not say which register is right.

What would change the picture

Nothing above is a recommendation. It is a record. These are the filings that would change the description:

Until one of those prints, the record describes a stock held by two of our 83 tracked superinvestors — 27,251 shares, 83.5% of it one holder, both holders having cut in a quarter the price rose 58.3% — whose full market added 84,009,938 reported shares across 266 new filers in the same quarter, whose 5% register — twelve amendments and two original 13G prints, with no original 13D — is one in which the founder and early-backer rows were cut by a third or more, whose insiders have recorded zero purchases in the parsed record, whose congressional register is empty in both chambers, and whose borrow has been retreating from its 2025 peak for sixteen months.

Related reading: Two of 83: One Holder Is 79.1% of the Superinvestors' Constellation Energy Stake. Its Insiders Have Bought Once. — Filing Tape #44; Four of 83: One Holder Is 73.3% of the Superinvestors' DoorDash Stake. Its Insiders Bought $100,283,387.82 in a Year. — Filing Tape #43; Zero of 83: The Superinvestors Aren't in IREN — Filing Tape #1. Rocket Lab's own page: Rocket Lab Corp (RKLB) on GetCoattail.

Methodology and data notes

Past patterns are not a promise of future results. For education only — not investment advice.

This article describes public filings as of the dates stated. It is not investment advice and makes no recommendation. Filings lag reality: 13F positions are as of June 30, 2026, and later trading is not yet public.

Revision history

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