RESEARCH — THE FILING TAPE #82

Four of 83: Every Superinvestor in Coherent Cut in Q2 While the Price Rose 65.6%. Its Insiders Have Never Bought a Share.

October 15, 2026

GetCoattail Research — The Filing Tape #82. Coherent fell 9.19% on October 14 in a broad AI selloff, and the filings describe four tracked holders who all cut in Q2 as the price rose 65.6%, a full market that added 16.5 million shares, an insider record with zero purchases against $1.12 billion of sales in a year, a 5% register whose maximum print has since halved, and a borrow within 6.8% of its record.

The Hype

The optical trade was the AI buildout's quiet winner — until this week. Coherent makes the lasers and optical components that move data inside AI data centres, and on October 14 it fell 9.19% as AI and semiconductor shares took the session's hardest hit after a hotter-than-expected inflation print; Barron's listed Coherent first among the decliners in that group. Two days earlier the shares had already closed down 7.9% as optical names led the market's losers. These are stocks that had staged major gains this year on demand described as booked out for years, and Nvidia has invested $2 billion in Coherent for optical development. In our daily-close file, which ends October 2, the last close of $337.04 sits 21.0% below the June 2 closing high of $426.89 — and 208.2% above the low of a year earlier. The filings below describe who held the stock before this week's break, through a quarter in which the price rose 65.6%.

The Tape

For Coherent — the eighty-second Filing Tape audit — the tape shows a four-name tracked cohort that cut unanimously in the second quarter, a full market that added 16,469,674 shares over the same quarter, an insider record with no purchase transaction of any kind against 62 sales, a congressional record of two transactions split between the chambers, a 5% register whose largest holder has printed 15.0% and then 5.6% inside a year, and a borrow within 6.8% of its record.

LensAs ofWhat the filings showDirection vs prior period
Superinvestors (13F)Jun 30, 20264 long holders; 591,693 shares; $233,405,137Holders 4 → 4; shares -6.8% (all 4 holders cut)
All institutions (13F)Jun 30, 20261,313 filers; 168,098,903 sharesFilers +223; shares +10.86%
Insiders (Form 4)Oct 2, 20260 purchases in the full parsed record; last 90 days: 10 salesNo purchase in any window; 62 sales in the full record
CongressOct 3, 20261 purchase (Senate) and 1 sale (House); 1 member in the combined recordLast reported purchase Jun 25, 2026
13D/GJul 8, 202620 parsed filings (15 SC 13G-family, 5 SC 13D/A); register maximum 15.0% (FMR LLC; Abigail P. Johnson)Latest filing reports 5.6% as of Jun 30, 2026
Short interest (FINRA)Sep 15, 202610,178,444 shares; 5.20% of shares outstandingDown 6.8% from the series maximum; up 14.2% year over year

Lens 1 — the superinvestors: four holders, and every one of them cut. We track 83 large, mostly long-only managers whose 13F portfolios we collect directly from SEC EDGAR. As of June 30, 2026, 4 held Coherent long, totalling 591,693 shares worth $233,405,137, with no option rows. Dodge & Cox Funds is the largest holder, with 544,160 shares worth $214,654,795 — 92.0% of the cohort's position — at a 0.11% weight, labelled DECREASED (-2.6%). Behind it, Arnold Van Den Berg - Century Management holds 42,046 shares worth $16,585,886 at a 3.50% weight. The direction count is unanimous: four DECREASED, none increased, none unchanged, none new, no exits — Maverick Capital cut 66.3% to 2,318 shares, Century cut 34.9%, First Eagle Investment Management cut 29.8% to 3,169 shares, and Dodge & Cox cut 2.6%. On a holder-by-holder match, the cohort's total fell from 634,845 shares at March 31 to 591,693 at June 30, down 43,152 shares (-6.8%), each matched row reproducing its EDGAR label exactly. The implied price, $394.47, sits exactly on the June 30 close. 13F figures are as of June 30, 2026; funds have up to 45 days to file, so this picture is complete — and always lagging.

Coherent through six filing lenses
Chart 1: Signal presence by cohort. Superinvestors: 83 managers, 2026Q2 13F (as of Jun 30, 2026). Institutions: full-market 13F aggregation, same date. Insiders: Form 4 through Oct 2, 2026. Congress: PTR records through Oct 3, 2026 (Senate through Oct 1, 2026). 13D/G: parsed filings through Jul 8, 2026. Short interest: FINRA settlements through Sep 15, 2026. Source: SEC EDGAR; FINRA; GetCoattail collections.

Lens 2 — institutions: 223 more filers, 16.5 million more shares. At June 30, 2026, 1,313 institutions reported positions, up 223 from 1,090 at March 31 (+20.46%), 1,304 of them long. Reported shares rose 10.86%, from 151,629,229 to 168,098,903 shares. Reported value rose 85.6% to $69,038,395,108; the aggregate includes option rows, so we headline filer and share counts and label dollars "reported" (see methodology). Market and cohort moved in opposite directions: the market added 16,469,674 shares while the tracked four cut 43,152.

Lens 3 — insiders: no purchase transaction in the entire parsed record, and a year of heavy selling. The parsed Form 4 record holds 85 filings through October 2, 2026, and zero purchase transactions — in the last 90 days, in the last year, and across the full record. That is not an officer-only statement: no insider of any kind records an open-market purchase anywhere in the parse. The 90-day window holds 10 sale transactions totalling 33,547 shares and $9,435,821.95, by 6 sellers, 5 of them officer sales. Across the last year the record holds 41 sales totalling 7,731,151 shares and $1,118,215,506.09, by 13 sellers, 14 of them officer sales; across the full record, 62 sales totalling 7,796,617 shares and $1,123,757,194.61, by 15 sellers, 26 of them officer sales. The last year's sales are 99.2% of all shares sold in the record — the selling is recent, and large. We assign no motives; this is a register of sales with an empty purchase column.

Lens 4 — Congress: two transactions, split between the chambers. The combined record (as of October 3, 2026) carries Coherent under 1 member, with 1 purchase transaction and 1 sale transaction, the last reported purchase dated June 25, 2026, and the member recorded as a Democrat. The purchase sits in the Senate aggregate; the sale sits in the House aggregate — a two-transaction record, one on each side of the Capitol.

Lens 5 — the 5% register: twenty filings, a halved maximum, and one holder amended to zero. Our full parse holds 20 SC 13D/G filings — three SC 13G, twelve SC 13G/A and five SC 13D/A, with no original SC 13D in the parse — 26 reporting-person rows across 9 names, 17 of them amendments, most recently filed July 8, 2026, matching the site aggregate's ticker-keyed row on every headline field. The register's maximum is 15.0%: FMR LLC and Abigail P. Johnson each report 23,572,803.27 shares as of December 31, 2025, in rows printed exactly as filed. The same two names later print 22,611,966.25 shares (12.1%) as of March 31, 2026 and 11,006,110.43 shares (5.6%) as of June 30, 2026 — the register's latest filing. The only 13D-family reporter, BCPE Watson (DE) BML, LP, amended its stake down in steps — 22,368,245 shares (11.9%) as of November 7, 2025, then 14,868,245 (7.9%), then 9,775,846 (5.2%) — to 0 shares as of February 9, 2026. BlackRock, Inc. prints 11.9% as of December 31, 2024 and 6.6% as of March 31, 2026.

Lens 6 — short interest: 10,178,444 shares, within 6.8% of a record set this year. As of September 15, 2026 — the most recent of 133 FINRA settlements since January 15, 2021 — 10,178,444 shares were sold short, down 5.44% from the prior settlement. The series maximum, 10,920,038 shares on March 31, 2026 — verified by a maximum query over the whole series — leaves the latest just 6.8% below it; this peak is recent, not historical. The last five settlements read 8,693,657, 9,047,021, 10,032,446, 10,764,076 and 10,178,444 — the borrow rebuilt through the summer before easing at the last print. Against the year-ago 8,914,051 shares the latest is up 14.2%; against the June 30 settlement of 8,587,090, up 18.5%. Against 195,832,246 shares outstanding, it is 5.20% of the share count, at 1.70 days to cover.

Short interest in Coherent
Chart 2: Shares sold short in Coherent at each FINRA biweekly settlement, Jan 15, 2021 – Sep 15, 2026 (n = 133 settlements). The latest reading, 10,178,444 shares on Sep 15, 2026, sits 6.8% below the series maximum of 10,920,038 shares on Mar 31, 2026, and 14.2% above the year-ago settlement. Source: FINRA Equity Short Interest files; GetCoattail collection (cohr_short_interest_series.csv).

The Gap

The narrative, as this week's coverage frames it, is momentum interrupted: an optical supplier at the centre of the AI buildout, demand booked out for years, a $2 billion Nvidia investment behind it — and a stock down 7.9% on Monday and 9.19% on Wednesday as the AI trade sold off. The filings describe who was already moving before the break, and they do not point one way. In Q2, as the price rose 65.6%, the full market held 168,098,903 reported shares, up 16,469,674 (+10.86%), as its filer count rose by 223 to 1,313. The tracked cohort went the other way — down 43,152 shares (-6.8%) to 591,693, all four holders cutting. The 5% register tells a similar story: its maximum stake, 15.0% as of December 31, 2025, printed 5.6% by June 30, 2026, and its only 13D-family holder amended itself to zero in February. The insider column is the emptiest of all: no purchase of any kind in 85 parsed filings, against 62 sales — $1,118,215,506.09 of them in the last year alone. Congress holds two transactions, a Senate purchase and a House sale. The borrow, at 10,178,444 shares and 5.20% of the share count, rebuilt all summer to within 6.8% of its March record. One plausible reading is that the broad market spent the quarter adding a stock its most-watched holders, its largest 5% reporters and its own insiders were all, in separate registers, reducing. The record supports each clause separately; it does not say which side the next quarter favours.

What Would Change the Picture

Nothing above is a recommendation. It is a record. These filings would change the description:

As-of & Limits

The lenses rest on different clocks, none live: 13F is a June 30, 2026 snapshot published up to 45 days later; Form 4 runs through October 2, 2026; Congress through October 3, 2026 (Senate through October 1, 2026); 13D/G through the July 8, 2026 filing; short interest through September 15, 2026; our price file ends October 2, 2026. Two limits are specific to this name. First, the October 12 and 14 falls postdate every lens here and are known to this audit only from outside coverage, not from our own price file, so nothing in the tape yet reflects positioning after them. Second, the full-market 13F total aggregates three CUSIPs, two of them legacy identifiers carrying 22,231 shares; the other lenses key on the main CUSIP alone.

Related reading: Seven of 83: Four Superinvestors Raised Progressive in Q2. Its Insiders Have Never Bought a Share. — Filing Tape #81; One of 83: Maverick Opened the Superinvestors' Only NetApp Position in Q2. No Officer Has Ever Bought a Share. — Filing Tape #80; Three of 83: Ariel Is 90.2% of the Superinvestors' Hewlett Packard Enterprise Stake. Its Insiders Have Never Bought a Share. — Filing Tape #79. Coherent's own page: Coherent (COHR) on GetCoattail.

Methodology and data notes

Past patterns are not a promise of future results. For education only — not investment advice.

This article describes public filings as of the dates stated. It is not investment advice and makes no recommendation. Filings lag reality: 13F positions are as of June 30, 2026, and later trading is not yet public.

Revision history

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