RESEARCH — THE FILING TAPE #83

Two of 83: The Superinvestors Hold Just 1,275 Lumentum Shares. Its Insiders Have Never Bought a Share.

October 15, 2026

GetCoattail Research — The Filing Tape #83. Lumentum fell 9.28% on October 14 in a broad AI selloff, and the filings describe a tracked cohort that held just 1,275 shares after Tiger Global exited, a full market that added 13.4 million shares, an insider record with zero purchases against $175,779,123.53 of sales in a year, an all-passive 5% register whose maximum print has fallen from 13.5% to 4.6%, and a borrow that has halved from its peak.

The Hype

Lumentum is the optical trade's purest momentum name. The company makes the lasers and photonic components that move data inside AI data centres, its chief executive has said its optical products were sold out through early 2029, and Nvidia has invested $2 billion in Lumentum to support optical development. The stock had risen 516% in the past year when, on Monday, October 12, it fell 9.8% as optical names led the market's losers — the biggest fall in the Nasdaq-100 that day. On Wednesday, October 14, it fell again, down 9.28% as AI and semiconductor shares took the session's hardest hit after a hotter-than-expected inflation print. In our daily-close file, which ends October 2, the last close of $1,085.42 is itself the 252-session closing high — 625.5% above the low of a year earlier. The filings below describe who held the stock before this week's break, through a quarter in which the price rose 22.1%.

The Tape

For Lumentum — the eighty-third Filing Tape audit — the tape shows a two-name tracked cohort holding 1,275 shares after its largest holder exited, a full market that added 13,398,093 shares over the same quarter, an insider record with no purchase transaction of any kind against 216 sales, a congressional record of three transactions sitting entirely in the House, a 5% register with no activist filing at all whose maximum has fallen from 13.5% to 4.6%, and a borrow that has halved from its peak.

LensAs ofWhat the filings showDirection vs prior period
Superinvestors (13F)Jun 30, 20262 long holders; 1,275 shares; $1,094,027Holders 3 → 2 (incl. 1 exit); shares -99.1% vs Q1 cohort
All institutions (13F)Jun 30, 20261,320 filers; 81,536,484 sharesFilers +247; shares +19.66%
Insiders (Form 4)Oct 2, 20260 purchases in the full parsed record; last 90 days: 69 salesNo purchase in any window; 216 sales in the full record
CongressOct 3, 20262 purchases and 1 sale, all in the House record; 2 membersLast reported purchase May 22, 2026; Senate record: none
13D/GJul 8, 202624 parsed filings (all SC 13G-family, 0 SC 13D-family); register maximum 13.5% (FMR LLC; Abigail P. Johnson)Latest filing reports 4.6% as of Jun 30, 2026
Short interest (FINRA)Sep 15, 20266,513,349 shares; 7.26% of shares outstandingDown 48.8% from the series maximum; down 36.6% year over year

Lens 1 — the superinvestors: two holders, 1,275 shares, and an exit that was the position. We track 83 large, mostly long-only managers whose 13F portfolios we collect directly from SEC EDGAR. As of June 30, 2026, 2 held Lumentum long, totalling 1,275 shares worth $1,094,027, with no option rows. Lee Ainslie - Maverick Capital is the largest holder, with 1,032 shares worth $885,518 — 80.9% of the cohort's position — at a 0.01% weight, labelled DECREASED (-52.5%). The only other holder, Polen Capital Management, opened a new position of 243 shares worth $208,509. The register's real event sits in the exit list: Chase Coleman - Tiger Global Management exited a position of 136,800 shares worth $96,137,568 — the exited shares are valued at exactly the March 31 close of $702.76. Counting the exited holder, the cohort went from 138,972 shares at March 31 to 1,275 at June 30, down 137,697 shares (-99.1%); the one continuing holder halved its position in the same quarter. The implied price, $858.06, sits exactly on the June 30 close. 13F figures are as of June 30, 2026; funds have up to 45 days to file, so this picture is complete — and always lagging.

Lumentum through six filing lenses
Chart 1: Signal presence by cohort. Superinvestors: 83 managers, 2026Q2 13F (as of Jun 30, 2026). Institutions: full-market 13F aggregation, same date. Insiders: Form 4 through Oct 2, 2026. Congress: PTR records through Oct 3, 2026 (Senate through Oct 1, 2026). 13D/G: parsed filings through Jul 8, 2026. Short interest: FINRA settlements through Sep 15, 2026. Source: SEC EDGAR; FINRA; GetCoattail collections.

Lens 2 — institutions: 247 more filers, 13.4 million more shares. At June 30, 2026, 1,320 institutions reported positions, up 247 from 1,073 at March 31 (+23.02%), 1,310 of them long. Reported shares rose 19.66%, from 68,138,391 to 81,536,484 shares. Reported value rose 49.13% to $85,488,918,088; the aggregate includes option rows, so we headline filer and share counts and label dollars "reported" (see methodology).

Lens 3 — insiders: no purchase transaction in the entire parsed record. The parsed Form 4 record holds 131 filings through October 2, 2026, and zero purchase transactions — in the last 90 days, in the last year, and across the full record. That is not an officer-only statement: no insider of any kind records an open-market purchase anywhere in the parse. The 90-day window holds 69 sale transactions totalling 99,496 shares and $90,549,043.33, by 5 sellers — and every one of the 69 is an officer sale. Across the last year the record holds 185 sales totalling 235,964 shares and $175,779,123.53, by 12 sellers, 133 of them officer sales; across the full record, 216 sales totalling 354,906 shares and $187,283,876.22, by 13 sellers, 160 of them officer sales. We assign no motives; this is a register of sales with an empty purchase column.

Lens 4 — Congress: three transactions, all of them in the House. The combined record (as of October 3, 2026) carries Lumentum under 2 members, with 2 purchase transactions and 1 sale transaction, the last reported purchase dated May 22, 2026, and the members recorded as Democrats. Both chambers do not appear: the House aggregate carries all three transactions, and the Senate aggregate carries no Lumentum row at all.

Lens 5 — the 5% register: twenty-four filings, all passive, and a maximum that has fallen by two-thirds. Our full parse holds 24 SC 13D/G filings — four SC 13G and twenty SC 13G/A, with no SC 13D-family filing of any kind in the parse — 46 reporting-person rows across 17 names, 20 of them amendments, most recently filed July 8, 2026, matching the site aggregate's ticker-keyed row on every headline field. The register's maximum is 13.5%: FMR LLC and Abigail P. Johnson each report 9,611,273.88 shares as of December 31, 2025, in rows printed exactly as filed. The same two names later print 7,457,683.36 shares (10.4%) as of March 31, 2026 and 3,611,651.58 shares (4.6%) as of June 30, 2026 — the register's latest filing. Capital World Investors prints 8.3% as of June 30, 2025 and 1.8% as of March 31, 2026.

Lens 6 — short interest: 6,513,349 shares, half its peak and falling for five straight settlements. As of September 15, 2026 — the most recent of 137 FINRA settlements since January 15, 2021 — 6,513,349 shares were sold short, down 8.55% from the prior settlement. The series maximum, 12,726,897 shares on November 28, 2025 — verified by a maximum query over the whole series — leaves the latest 48.8% below it. The last five settlements read 8,784,876, 8,551,325, 7,270,171, 7,122,028 and 6,513,349 — a borrow unwinding through the summer, not rebuilding. Against the year-ago 10,275,699 shares the latest is down 36.6%; against the June 30 settlement of 9,655,854, down 32.5%. Against 89,700,000 shares outstanding, it is 7.26% of the share count, at 1.63 days to cover.

Short interest in Lumentum
Chart 2: Shares sold short in Lumentum at each FINRA biweekly settlement, Jan 15, 2021 – Sep 15, 2026 (n = 137 settlements). The latest reading, 6,513,349 shares on Sep 15, 2026, sits 48.8% below the series maximum of 12,726,897 shares on Nov 28, 2025, and 36.6% below the year-ago settlement. Source: FINRA Equity Short Interest files; GetCoattail collection (lite_short_interest_series.csv).

The Gap

The narrative, as this week's coverage frames it, is momentum interrupted: an optical supplier at the centre of the AI buildout, products described as sold out through early 2029, a $2 billion Nvidia investment behind it, a stock up 516% in a year — and down 9.8% on Monday and 9.28% on Wednesday as the AI trade sold off. The filings describe who was already moving before the break, and on the tracked registers they point mostly one way. In Q2, as the price rose 22.1%, the full market held 81,536,484 reported shares, up 13,398,093 (+19.66%), as its filer count rose by 247 to 1,320. The tracked cohort went the other way, to almost nothing: 1,275 shares remain, after Tiger Global Management exited 136,800 shares and the one continuing holder halved. The 5% register tells a similar story: its maximum stake, 13.5% as of December 31, 2025, printed 4.6% by June 30, 2026, and not one of its 24 filings is an activist 13D. The insider column is the emptiest of all: no purchase of any kind in 131 parsed filings, against 216 sales — $175,779,123.53 of them in the last year alone. Congress holds three transactions, all in the House. The one register moving the other way is the borrow: at 6,513,349 shares it has halved from its November 2025 peak and fallen for five straight settlements — the shorts, on this record, have been leaving. One plausible reading is that the broad market spent the quarter adding a stock its most-watched holders and its largest 5% reporters were reducing, while the trade positioned against it was already unwinding. The record supports each clause separately; it does not say which side the next quarter favours.

What Would Change the Picture

Nothing above is a recommendation. It is a record. These filings would change the description:

As-of & Limits

The lenses rest on different clocks, none live: 13F is a June 30, 2026 snapshot published up to 45 days later; Form 4 runs through October 2, 2026; Congress through October 3, 2026 (Senate through October 1, 2026); 13D/G through the July 8, 2026 filing; short interest through September 15, 2026; our price file ends October 2, 2026 — at the stock's 252-session closing high. Two limits are specific to this name. First, the October 12 and 14 falls postdate every lens here and are known to this audit only from outside coverage, not from our own price file, so nothing in the tape yet reflects positioning after them. Second, the full-market 13F implied value runs 22.2% above the June 30 close on this name — the widest gap in recent audits — because the aggregate sums option-row values; the share and filer counts, not the dollars, are the lens's reliable readings.

Related reading: Four of 83: Every Superinvestor in Coherent Cut in Q2 While the Price Rose 65.6%. Its Insiders Have Never Bought a Share. — Filing Tape #82; Seven of 83: Four Superinvestors Raised Progressive in Q2. Its Insiders Have Never Bought a Share. — Filing Tape #81; One of 83: Maverick Opened the Superinvestors' Only NetApp Position in Q2. No Officer Has Ever Bought a Share. — Filing Tape #80. Lumentum's own page: Lumentum (LITE) on GetCoattail.

Methodology and data notes

Past patterns are not a promise of future results. For education only — not investment advice.

This article describes public filings as of the dates stated. It is not investment advice and makes no recommendation. Filings lag reality: 13F positions are as of June 30, 2026, and later trading is not yet public.

Revision history

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